Falkirk are the outsider for their upcoming round 12 Premiership match against Celtic at Falkirk Stadium, with bookmakers assigning them a 16% win probability. The odds offered by bookmakers indicate a clear favourite in this contest, setting the win probability for Celtic at 65%. These probabilities were read two days before kickoff.
Current Form - Falkirk
Falkirk sit sixth in the Premiership on 15 points after 11 matches, with a record of four wins, three draws, and four losses. Their last league match was a 1-0 away win against Aberdeen. Across 11 games, the side has scored 13 goals and conceded 12. Their expected goals (xG) is 1.15, compared to a league average of 1.61, while their expected goals conceded (xGA) is 1.71, against a league average of 1.61. In their last five matches, Falkirk recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss. This recent window saw them score 1.6 goals per match and concede 0.8 per match, shifting their season averages from 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded.
Current Form - Celtic
Celtic currently lead the Premiership, holding first place with 28 points from 11 matches, characterized by nine wins, one draw, and one loss. They enter this fixture following a 2-2 home draw against Dundee Utd. With 27 goals scored and eight conceded, their expected goals (xG) metric stands at 2.68, while their expected goals conceded (xGA) is 1.03; both figures compare to a league average of 1.61. Their recent form over five matches includes three wins, one draw, and one loss. During this period, they produced 2.6 goals per match and conceded 1.0 per match, adjusting from their season averages of 2.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. They have recorded five straight wins away from home this season.
Head-to-Head Record
The average of 2.8 goals in their last five meetings leads their head-to-head history. Falkirk have lost all five of those matches. Celtic have won their last six meetings against Falkirk, every one of them since March 2010. Celtic are unbeaten against Falkirk since August 2007, 12 wins and two draws in 14 meetings. The most recent meeting between the sides took place earlier this season at Celtic's home ground, where Celtic won 2-1.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Falkirk are led by forward Jacob Murrell, who has five goals in nine matches and four goals in his last four appearances. Defender Ryan Strain has provided five assists. Ben Krauhaus has two goals in nine matches. Aodhan Doherty will miss the match due to a foot injury. The team averages 3.8 shots on target and 1.2 big chances per match, with 23.9 touches in the opposition box.
Camilo Duran leads the Celtic attack with seven goals and five assists, recording four goals in his last five matches. Benjamin Nygren has six goals and four assists. Defender Liam Scales has two goals and one assist in nine matches. Alistair Johnston is confirmed absent, while Hyun-Jun Yang has a hamstring injury and remains a doubt. Celtic average 8.6 shots on target and 5.0 big chances per match, with 37.8 touches in the opposition box.
Key Numbers
↔️ Expected goals (xG): Falkirk 1.15 per match vs Celtic 2.68 per match
Falkirk
➖ Big chances: 1.2 per match (worst in the league, league average 2.5)
➖ Big chance conversion: 15% (worst in the league, league average 33%)
Celtic
➕ Big chances: 5.0 per match (best in the league, league average 2.5)
➕ Through passes: 2.3 per match (best in the league, league average 0.7)
➕ Expected goals conceded (xGA): 1.03 per match (best in the league, league average 1.61)
Match Notes
Colby Donovan has received four yellow cards in 10 appearances for Celtic.
Falkirk goalkeeper Scott Bain previously played for Celtic, where he made 53 appearances over seven seasons.
Betting Insights
The over/under line is set at 2.5, with a 65% probability of the total going over. There is a 58% probability that both teams will score.
Goals implied by the odds: 3.3
These figures come from the odds bookmakers offered on this match, and they were read two days before kickoff.
This content was generated using AI.