After disappointing UEFA Nations League (UNL) campaigns, Latvia and Armenia, the bottom two in Group C2, will look to conclude this campaign on a positive note when they meet in Riga.
Match News and Current Form
Despite playing against ten men from the 57th minute onwards on Thursday, Latvia conceded in stoppage time to go down 2-1 in Montenegro, the third game in a row that they have lost by that scoreline. They now face the prospect of failing to win a game during an entire cycle for only the second time in this UNL’s five editions, while only the competition’s restructuring sees Latvia avoid relegation as they cannot finish anywhere but bottom in Group C2. A run of seven games without a victory (D1, L6) would indicate Latvia will struggle to sign off on a high here, although their only point of this cycle and their last competitive win were both achieved at home.
Armenia may have come from behind to rescue a 1-1 draw against Cyprus on Thursday, but that result left them unable to progress, consigning them to a third-place finish which ensures they’ll spend a third successive UNL cycle in the third tier. Having little on the line looks a dangerous prospect for a side who’ve won only twice since the start of 2025 (D5, L11), with neither of those wins coming on the road where they’ve failed to win their last eight fixtures (D2, L6), although Armenia’s last away victory came on this ground back in 2024!
Head-to-Head History
Armenia won only one of the first four H2Hs (D1, L2) but will be targeting a fourth successive victory over Latvia this Sunday.
Hot Stats and Streaks
Latvia have opened the scoring in only one of their last nine UNL group stage games.
None of Latvia’s last 11 matches produced over 3.5 goals.
Armenia have failed to score in four of their last five away fixtures.
Five of the six goals Armenia conceded in this UNL cycle came before half-time.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Andrejs Cigaņiks laid on an assist on Thursday evening, but his last seven international goal involvements have produced just one Latvia victory (D3, L3). Scorer of Armenia’s second-half equaliser on Thursday, Artur Gharibyan also scored after half-time in September’s reverse fixture and is unbeaten in the last ten games he netted in for club or country (W7, D3).
Neither side appears to have any new availability issues.
For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.
Betting Analysis
Given Latvia’s miserable form and Armenia’s poor away results over the last two years, backing a draw could be the way to go.
Author: Tom Penn