There is only pride to play for as Finland round off their UEFA Nations League (UNL) campaign against a San Marino side who will look to avoid an unwanted 100% record in League C this season.
Match News and Current Form
A 2-0 defeat to Albania on Thursday night extinguished Finland’s hopes of an immediate return to League B, as an inferior H2H record against second-placed Belarus means that the Scandinavian outfit cannot now secure a top-two spot in Group C1. They will still be keen to end their campaign on a high by avoiding what could be a third straight competitive defeat for the first time since November 2024. Jacob Friis’ men have only lost one of their last six home games (W4, D1), so that gives their supporters reason to be positive, as does the fact that the Eagle-Owls have never lost as hosts at this level of the UNL (W4, D1).
Bottom-of-the-group San Marino have lost all five of their UNL matches this cycle, conceding a competition-high 18 goals in 2026/27 in the process. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 home defeat to Belarus, which also extended their miserable run of form to 18 losses in their last 19 internationals (D1). It is therefore perhaps no surprise that La Serenissima, playing at this level of the UNL for the first time, are now on course to suffer a ninth successive international away defeat and remain rooted to the bottom of FIFA's world rankings (#211).
Head-to-Head History
Finland have won the seven previous H2Hs by an aggregate score of 30-2, the latest of which was a 7-0 drubbing in September’s reverse fixture.
Hot Stats and Streaks
Finland have kept four clean sheets across their five home games in League C.
Finland attempted 11+ shots in five of their last six internationals.
Six of San Marino’s last seven matches featured over 2.5 goals.
San Marino have faced at least five shots on target in each of their UNL games this season.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Finland’s Leo Walta has scored four UNL goals this term, while four of his five international strikes have come after half-time. The nine fouls committed by Lorenzo Capicchioni are the most by a San Marino player in this edition of the competition, but he has only picked up one yellow card in that time.
Finland will be without Miro Tenho and Adam Markhiev due to suspension, while Filippo Fabbri is serving a ban for San Marino.
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Betting Analysis
San Marino just cannot keep the back door closed and have already crumbled against Finland once this season, so value may be found here in backing Finland to overcome a -2 handicap.
Author: Matt Jones